Prediction of Coal Mine Safety Accident, Research and Application
Accident trend projections are based on accident statistics on the trend of future accidents macro forecasts. Occurrence of mine casualties change over time will show some kind of statistical regularity. Mine casualties based on historical data can be regressed. In this paper, the regression prediction model has been applied. If there is no correlation between the number of mine accidents and the time then you can not use regression analysis and forecasting trends in the accident prediction method. The author analyzes the characteristics of the gray model based on the gray prediction method, and predicts the development tendency of the accident. Analysis and fore-casting processes show this method is simple and believable. On the basis of regression and grey models, the application forecast software will be put into use in Kailuan group. The method and result of the study in the article can not only provide the theoretical reference for the quantitative study in coal mine safety accident but also supply the basis to the safety administration decision of coal enterprises.
Forecast Safety Accident Regression Analysis Grey Forecast Grey Model
ZHANG Aixia ZHU Ming WANG Min YI Lifen
Hebei Polytechnic University, Tangshan 063009, China
国际会议
2010 International Conference on Mine Hazards Prevention and Control(第二届矿山灾害预防与控制国际学术会议 ICMHPC)
青岛
英文
659-664
2010-10-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）