Modelling and Forecasting of Highway Traffic Accident Trend

摘要：

The analysis of highway traffic accidents rule, seeking for the prevention of traffic accidents effective remedy is the question which our country urgently awaits to be solved. Taking this into consideration, with many kinds of mathematical models, analyzing and studying the number of accidents, the injured population number, the deathed population number, thus we can determine forecast models related parameter, carry on with average absolute percentage error according to qualification, and choose the most superior forecast model, then carried on the predictive analysis with the most superior method to the traffic accidents change tendency at highway.

关键词： Highway Traffic accident Trend Modelling Forecasting

作者: Zhang Guirong Yi Fengyan Wei Li Gu Ning

作者单位: Shandong Jiaotong University, Shandong, Jinan 250023, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The Third International Conference on Modelling and Simulation(第三届国际建模、计算、仿真、优化及其应用学术会议 ICMS 2010)

会议地点: 无锡

会议语种:英文

页码: 47-50

在线出版日期: 2010-06-04（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）