会议专题

Dynamic Portfolio Choice: Time-varying and Jumps

Assuming that the risky asset return follows stochastic jump-diffusion model, this paper studies the effect of the time-varying and jumps of return process on dynamic portfolio choice, and discusses their characteristics in Chinese stock market. It applies stochastic control theory to obtain the analytical solution of dynamic portfolio choice, which maximizes the expected power utility of portfolio terminal wealth, and utilizes the Spectral Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM) to estimate model parameters to do an empirical study based on the monthly data of Shanghai Exchange Composite Index from 1997.01-2008.12. Results show, the time-varying results in the positive or negative intcrtemporal hedging demand, which depends on the degree of investors risk-aversion and the correlation coefficient between the shift of risky asset return and that of risk premium; the jumps also results in positive or negative jump hedging demand, but overall reduces the position on risky asset; as for the stock market in China, the effect of jumps is greater than that of the time-varying, and their horizon effect is very weak.

dynamic portfolio time-varying jumps SGMM

He Chao-lin

School of Management Engineering Anhui Polytechnic University Wuhu, Peoples Republic of China

国际会议

2010 IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Intelligent Systems(2010 IEEE 智能计算与智能系统国际会议 ICIS 2010)

厦门

英文

507-511

2010-10-29(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)