Study on Integrated Risk Assessment for Fire Safety with Uncertainty Analysis

摘要：

A risk assessment method is developed with uncertainty analysis for fire safety. Three aspects of fire risk were considered which are the fire evolution, humans vulnerability and management level. Each aspect is set as an uncertain variable and the uncertainty distribution is got with statistics. The integrated risk with three uncertain variables is modeled with vector method. Validating of the model is performed with three practical markets, which indicates that the risk assessment results fit well with practical situation. Besides, the method developed in this paper helps to find the key factors of risk.

关键词： integrated risk assessment uncertainty analysis fire safety

作者: LIU Yi LIU Zheng CHEN Jianguo CHEN Lin

作者单位: Center for Public Safety Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China Department of Engineer Center for Public Safety Research, Tsinghua niversity, Beijing 100084, China Department of Engineeri Center for Public Safety Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China Chongqing General Fire

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2010 International Symposium on Safety Science and Technology(2010 安全科学与技术国际会议)

会议地点: 杭州

会议语种:英文

页码: 332-338

在线出版日期: 2010-10-26（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）