On Fault Prediction Model for A320 Aircraft Air Conditioning System
Fault prediction is of great importance to maintain the aircraft air conditioning system. Traditional CM (1,1) prediction model could be used only in the sequences with more obvious exponential characters. Considering the parameters of aircraft air conditioning system are fluctuant, this paper improves the traditional GM (1,1) prediction model and builds a prediction model under small sample circumstance. The improvement prediction model introduces an operator of 3-point to dispose of the original fluctuant sequences and corrects the background sequences using a new method. The predicted sequence of the water extractor A320 air conditioning system shows that the improvement prediction mode satisfies the accuracy requirement and it is validated.
Aircraft Air Conditioning GM (1,1) prediction model fault prediction fluctuant sequence
Zeng Xuefeng Deng Jianqian Chen Jingjie Geng Hong
College of Aeronautical Automation Civil Aviation University of China Tianjin, China Aircraft Mainte College of Aeronautical Automation Civil Aviation University of China Tianjin, China
国际会议
昆明
英文
231-234
2010-10-17(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)