会议专题

Social Learning in Stock Markets:A Lattice Model

This paper builds an artificial stock market consisting of the agents with explicit behavioral factors,by introducing a core factor,namely,sentiment contagion,which is a kind of social learning,and discusses the relation between sentiment contagion and volatility and complexity emerging from return series.In particular,the paper discusses how the emergence of critical phenomenon from micro-level interactions of agents is related to the self-enforcement of imitation propensity.The simulation results show that,the order state (market cluster) and volatility increase with the increasing of sensitivity of investors to global news,propensity to sentiment contagion and accuracy of explaining news.When the coordination reaches a critical point,a phase transition happens and asset bubble bursts with a subsequent crash.

social learning lattice model stock market simulation analysis

Shuzhen Zhu Yanxiang Qian

Glorious Sun School of Business and Management Donghua Universtiy Shanghai,China Shanghai Branch ICBC Shanghai,China

国际会议

2010 2nd IEEE International Conference on Information and Financial Engineering(2010年第二届IEEE信息与金融工程国际会议 ICIFE 2010)

重庆

英文

389-395

2010-09-17(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)