Risk-zoning of Crop Yield Loss: Taking as an Example Corn in Hebei Province of China

摘要：

Rational risk-zoning and risk-based fair premium rate are helpful to alleviate the adverse selection and moral hazard and to enhance the efficiency of crop insurance. With five selected leading indicators of the probability with yield loss larger than 30％, volatility of yield, specialization index, proportion of dry field and proportion of drought affected area, we used the Q-type cluster analysis method to carry out corn yield risk-zoning in 118 major corn-producing counties of Hebei province. The results show that risk distribution is characteristic of contiguous stretches and regional divisions, and 79. 7％ of the total counties are of the low-risk and medium-risk. Corn drought is practically insurable, which is worth trying in low-risk counties.

关键词： Risk-zoning Corn yield loss Leading indicator Cluster analysis Crop insurance

作者: YANG Ruihua XIAN Zude WANG Lihong

作者单位: College of Economy and Management, China Agricultural University, P.R.China, 100193 Center for Rural Development Policy, China Agricultural University, P.R.China, 100083 Daxing District Commission of Agriculture of Beijing Municipality, P.R.China, 102600

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: China Agriculture System Engineering Society 2010(2010年中国农业系统工程学术年会)

会议地点: 威海

会议语种:英文

页码: 207-211

在线出版日期: 2010-07-29（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）