会议专题

Empirical Study of the Relationship between Trade Structure of Imports and Technical Progress in China

According to new trade theory, imports facilitate economic growth through technology spillover, but the degree of spillover is related to trade structure. Indices of trade structure of imports and indices of technical progress are constructed at first. Then cointegration analysis and Granger causality test of the mutual effects between trade structure of imports of China and technical progress of China are carried out. The empirical study shows that the imports of capital goods and intermediate goods have a long-term stable stimulating effect to technical progress. Chinas imports gave rise to technology spillover, and the role played by the imports of intermediate goods is more significant, but mutual causal relationship does not exist between them, and there is not a sound circulation between trade structure improvement and technical progress. Some policy implications are given at the end.

technical progress technology spillover trade structure of imports cointegration granger causality

ZHAO Linhai

Institute of Quantitative Economics, Huaqiao University, P.R.China, 362021

国际会议

The 3rd International Institute of Statistics & Management Engineering Symposium(2010 国际统计与管理工程研讨会 IISMES)

威海

英文

1274-1277

2010-07-24(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)