会议专题

Logarithmic Demand Function in Tourism Demand Forecasting -Taking Shandong Province as an Example

With the development of international tourism, inbound tourism demand analysis has been a hot topic in the tourism field. The general-to-specific modeling approach is followed to model and forecast the demand for Shandong tourism by residents from the 7major origin countries/regions and the empirical results reveal that the most important factors that determine the demand for Shandong tourism are the costs of tourism in Shandong, the economic condition (measured by the income level) in the origin countries/regions, the costs of tourism in the competing destinations and special events. The demand for Shandong tourism will continue increasing. We can know the trend of by conducting the forecasts of tourism arrivals, on which tourism development policy-making of Shandong rely.

inbound tourism tourism demand demand elasticity forecasting

ZENG Bei

School of Management, Shandong Institute of Business and Technology, Yantai, P.R.China, 264005

国际会议

The 3rd International Institute of Statistics & Management Engineering Symposium(2010 国际统计与管理工程研讨会 IISMES)

威海

英文

60-63

2010-07-24(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)