Research on Urban Water Requirement Prediction Model Based on Multiple Adaptive Regression Splines

摘要：

Comparing the ways of urban water requirement prediction, this paper analyzes the factors affecting urban water requirement, establishes the multiple adaptive regression splines model for urban water requirement prediction. Through the real example of Yancheng, we compare the GM (1,1) model with MARS model. The result shows that the MARS model is more reliable and practical. The MARS model can provide foundation for water plan.

关键词： water requirement prediction model multiple adaptive regression splines

作者: JIA Renfu YUAN Ming LI Jun

作者单位: College of Civil Science and Engineering, Yangzhou University, P.R.China, 225009 College of Hydraulic Science and Engineering, Yangzhou University, P.R.China, 225009

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 3rd International Institute of Statistics & Management Engineering Symposium(2010 国际统计与管理工程研讨会 IISMES)

会议地点: 威海

会议语种:英文

页码: 364-367

在线出版日期: 2010-07-24（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）