Forecasting Numbers of Patent Fillings in China: Empirical Research Based on the Time Series Analysis

摘要：

Based on the existing methods for predicting numbers of patent filings, in this paper we discuss the change for internal numbers of patent filing in the characteristic of temporal trend and influence factors, putting forward a systemic method for predicting numbers of patent filings fits for China. The method forecasts numbers of patent filings in the foreseeable future, and prospects the research on methods for predicting numbers of patent filings in the future.

关键词： patent filings forecasting time series analysis ARIMA model

作者: MA Huan MA Xiaowei CAI Zhonghua

作者单位: State Intellectual Property Office, P.R.China, 100088 School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, P.R.China,100029

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 3rd International Institute of Statistics & Management Engineering Symposium(2010 国际统计与管理工程研讨会 IISMES)

会议地点: 威海

会议语种:英文

页码: 374-378

在线出版日期: 2010-07-24（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）