Empirical Analysis on Impact of Financial Crisis on Exports Contribution Rate to GDP in Shandong Province

摘要：

According to the domestic and foreign economic situation analysis and the new customs statistical data by the end of March 2010, this paper makes cointegration test and chow test on relation between export trade and GDP growth in Shandong Province. This paper reveals the relation between export trade and GDP growth in Shandong Province are stable in long-term but fluctuate in short-term. Then this paper reveals that financial crisis has an impact on export trades contribution rate to GDP in Shandong Province. After financial crisis, the contribution rate has been improved to a less extent. This means that after the financial crisis the decline of export led greater decline of economic growth than before.

关键词： financial crisis export trade Co-integration test chow test

作者: CUI Wenfang

作者单位: School of Economics, Shandong Institute of Business and Technology, P.R.China, 264005

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 3rd International Institute of Statistics & Management Engineering Symposium(2010 国际统计与管理工程研讨会 IISMES)

会议地点: 威海

会议语种:英文

页码: 821-825

在线出版日期: 2010-07-24（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）