Model of Grey-Mean Generating Function and Its Application in Aviation Equipment Accident Prediction

摘要：

A hybrid model based on grey model and mean generating function model for aviation equipment accident prediction is proposed. The model organically combines grey GM(1,1) model with mean generating function model. The former is used to reveal the development trend of aviation equipment accident; the latter is used to characterize the fluctuating law of aviation equipment accident. The model not only takes advantage of both strongpoint but also overcomes their shortcomings. The experiment results show that, the model has a simple modeling process and a good prediction to aviation equipment accident, and is a simple and feasible method of aviation equipment accident prediction.

关键词： grey gm(1 1) model mean generating function principal component analysis aviation equipment accident

作者: Gan Xusheng Duanmu Jingshun Cong Wei

作者单位: XiJing College, Xian, Shaanxi, 710123, China Engineering College, Air Force Engineering University, Xian, Shaanxi, 710038, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2010 IEEE International Conference on Advanced Management Science(2010年IEEE高级管理科学国际会 IEEE ICAMS 2010)

会议地点: 成都

会议语种:英文

页码: 521-525

在线出版日期: 2010-07-09（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）