Research on gompertz curve model used for mobile user growth

摘要：

This paper deals with the application of gompertz curve model to mobile user growth, gompertz growth curve is a kind of product life cycle theories, which reveals the development of product markets has a sigmoid growing process. The gompertz curve model which can be transformed, employ ordinary least-squares principle to simply formula. Based on historical data, the initial formula can be projected. In order to achieve better prediction accuracy, 0.618 optimal seeking methods can be employed to optimize Model,which adjusts limit parameters of gompertz growth curve for the purpose of fitting actual data. Although the gompertz model establishment for Postal and Telecommunication Services is demonstrated in this paper, this model can be applied in many fields. Example programs for specifying these models based on the use of the gompertz Curve Model are also provided. So the gompertz model is effective path to the research of product life cycle theories, which the prospect of application will be promising.

关键词： Gompertz Model Ordinary Least-Squares Principle Linear Regression 0.618 Optimal Seeking Methods

作者: Jin Tao

作者单位: School of Computer Science Gansu Political Science and Law Institute Lanzhou,730070 ,P.R.China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2010 International Conference on Educational and Network Technology(2010教育与网络技术国际会议 ICENT 2010)

会议地点: 秦皇岛

会议语种:英文

页码: 557-560

在线出版日期: 2010-06-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）