Fractal-Cyclical Extension Combined Model and Power Load Forecast

摘要：

Abstract: Based on the analysis of fractal theory and cyclical extension model, the trend durability of time series is researched through the R/S method, and the fractal-cyclical extension forecast model is presented in this paper. This model not only possesses the advantages of fractal model dealing with self-similarity, but can give consideration to cyclical fluctuation of the data. Therefore, the fractal-cyclical extension forecast model is of greater applicability. This model is applied to the load forecast of Zhejiang province power grid, and the results prove that this model is scientific and feasible to some degree.

关键词： fractal theory R/S method cyclical extension model load forecast

作者: REN Feng LIU Ying-zong

作者单位: School of Business and Administration Tianjin University Tianjin, China,300072 School of Business and AdministrationTianjin UniversityTianjin, China,300072

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 International Conference on Information System and Computational Intelligence(2011 IEEE信息系统与计算智能国际会议 ICISCI 2011)

会议地点: 哈尔滨

会议语种:英文

页码: 81-84

在线出版日期: 2011-01-18（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）