Analysis and Scenarios Forecast of IP AT Equation-based Building Energy Consumption in China

摘要：

Tbe building energy consumption is one of the three major areas of energy consumption, which has grown at the average annual rate of 2.3％ in recent years. By the end of 2009, it has accounted for 27.19％ of the social end energy consumption and has remained continuous growth. Therefore, the quantitative prediction on the development trend of building energy consumption during Chinas Twelfth Five-year Period and energy consumption amount will be highly important for the formulation of building energy efficiency policies. This paper begins by summarizing the characteristics of Chinas building energy consumption and uses IPAT equation to establish Chinas building energy analysis model. In addition, based on the analyzing and calculating building energy consumption data of some OECD countries, it simulates and analyzes three different scenarios of Chinas building energy from 2011 to 2020.

关键词： IPAT equation building energy consumption scenario analysis

作者: Zeng Di Liu Yisheng Yin Shuai

作者单位: Low Carbon Research and Education Center Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2010 International Conference on Construction and Project Management(2010年IEEE建设与项目管理国际会议 2010ICCPM)

会议地点: 成都

会议语种:英文

页码: 180-185

在线出版日期: 2010-11-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）