Modelling of Failure Prediction Bayesian Network based on Fault Tree Analysis

摘要：

Based on the useful failure relationships embedded in the fault tree analysis (FTA), the paper proposes a failure prediction Bayesian Network (FPBN) modelling method to establish the practical model and facilitate its applications. In the modelling method, the transformation of events and logic relationships in FTA to variables, edges and conditional probability distributions (CPD) in FPBN are illustrated. Moreover, considering the developments of advanced detection devices, the detection information is also introduced in the FPBN model. At last, the case study of a tank clutch pedal (TCP) is carried out by transforming its FTA to a corresponding FPBN. The results show that, the proposed method can perform effectively in modelling FPBN based on FTA.

关键词： Failure prediction Bayesian network fault tree analysis modelling tank clutch pedal

作者: Zhi-qiang CAI Shu-dong SUN Shu-bin SI Ning WANG

作者单位: Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Contemporary Design and Integrated Manufacturing Technology,School of Mechantronics,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xian 710072,Shaanxi,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2010 IEEE 17th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management(2010年IEEE第17届工业工程与工程管理国际学术会议)

会议地点: 厦门

会议语种:英文

页码: 937-941

在线出版日期: 2010-10-29（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）