Bayesian Network Inference on Risks of Construction Schedule-Cost

摘要：

There is an important relationship between construction costs and schedule, a more appropriate schedule causes less cost risks. In such cases, a more acceptable construction cost-risk analysis model that takes into account of schedule risks should be applied. In this paper, the construction schedulecost risk is defined and based on Bayesian network a schedule-cost risk analysis model is established which can process qualitative information and quantitative information, especially can reveal the relationship between schedule-cost risk factors easier. And Bayesian network inference is utilized to analyze and forecast the risks of construction schedule-cost, which helps decision-makers to control the schedule risks and cost risks.

关键词： Construction costs Schedule Risk analysis Bayesian network Inference

作者: Junyan Liu

作者单位: Institute of Engineering Management Hohai University Nanjing, China School of Civil & Environmental Engineering University of New South Wales Sydney, Australia

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2010 International Conference of Informationa Science and Management Engineering(2010年信息科学与管理工程国际学术会议 ISME 2010)

会议地点: 西安

会议语种:英文

页码: 595-598

在线出版日期: 2010-08-07（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）