Risk Assessment of Water Transportation in Three Gorges Reservoir through Approaches of System Engineering

摘要：

Water transportation is system engineering, including four aspects: staff, vessel, environment and management, which the four main aspects are affected by many unspecific factors. An unascertained measure model for evaluating the risks of water transportation in Three Gorges Reservoir was proposed on the basis of system engineering method in this paper, and the risk factors in the water area were identified and quantitative analysis of risk were done. In terms of the defects of traditional analytic hierarchy process(AHP) and entropy method in confirming weight, a composed method was proposed to determine the weight of indexes based on the improved analytic hierarchy process and information entropy. The application shows that the unascertained measure model based on system engineering can quantify the risk of water transportation system, and also be conducive to decision-making of the risk control.

关键词： System Engineering Three Gorges Reservoir Water Transportation Risk Assessment

作者: Zhang Dan Huang Liwen Fan Xiaobiao

作者单位: College of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China College of Navigation, Ch College of Navigation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China College of Navigation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Sustainable Construction & Risk Management(首届可持续建设与风险管理国际会议)

会议地点: 重庆

会议语种:英文

页码: 387-391

在线出版日期: 2010-06-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）