Research on Risk Assessment of Enterprise Human Capital Investment Based on Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence

摘要：

Risk assessment of enterprise human capital investment has been one of the issues which are attracted by managers and scholars since the seminal work of Schultz. In this paper, we investigate the use of Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence for modeling and evaluating the risk of human capital investment. Firstly, we present a preliminary review of evidence theory and improve the rule of evidence combination by introducing a discounting ratio. And then, we construct the index system of risk assessment for enterprise human capital investment. Finally, we report a case study to demonstrate the utilization of Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence in the process of risk assessment for enterprise human capital investment. The empirical result verifies the feasibility and efficacy of this mathematic method in dealing with imprecise information cues and conflicts among the evidences.

关键词： Risk assessment human capital investment Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence

作者: YU Dong Ping DUAN Wan Chun

作者单位: Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 1st International Conference on Sustainable Construction & Risk Management(首届可持续建设与风险管理国际会议)

会议地点: 重庆

会议语种:英文

页码: 684-689

在线出版日期: 2010-06-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）