An Empirical Analysis on the Factors Influencing the Issuance Scale and Its Prediction of Chinese Treasure Bonds
With the deepening of reform, our bonds scale increased step by step. In particular, from 1994, Chinese treasure bonds has expanded rapidly. As we all know that whether bonds scale was too large, it would bring certain risk for macroeconomic. In the paper, we, firstly, expatiated on the research significance and research status quo of the bonds scale. Then, we carried out an empirical analysis on the factors impacting the Issuance scale of treasure bonds with principal component analysis. Finally, we predicted the issuance scale of our bonds with gray prediction method in the next few years and carried out a summary.
Treasury bonds scale Issuance scale Principal component analysis Empirical analysis Gray prediction method
XU Bin CHEN Jianbao
Department of Economics, Nanchang Institute of Technology, P. R. China, 330099 Department of Plannin Department of Planning and Statistics, Xiamen University, P. R. China, 361005
国际会议
The 1st International Conference on Sustainable Construction & Risk Management(首届可持续建设与风险管理国际会议)
重庆
英文
1477-1485
2010-06-12(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)