Parallel Model of Forecasting Killer Residence and Place of Crime
A parallel model is given to forecast killer residence and place of crime. According to the circle cover method, we derive normal distribution of perpetrators radius, and forecast the center coordinates of the greatest probability of offender accommodation. The parallel Markov model is formulated by using transition probability of two adjacent sites of crime commitment. After respectively calculating, we obtain the various probabilities of locations of the next crime and get their targets area. The results of example show our method can be used in practice to predict killer residence and place of next crime.
component parallel model killer normal distribution
Jing Qu Chuanjian Zheng Weiming Zhao Xing Wang Shesheng Zhang
Mathematical Modeling Association Wuhan University of Technology Wuhan 430063, China Department of Statistics Wuhan University of Technology Wuhan.430070 China
国际会议
香港
英文
228-230
2010-08-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）