Estimation of Failure Probability and Its Applications in Reliability Data Analysis

摘要：

Evaluation method of reliability parameter estimation needs to be improved effectively with the advance of science and technology. This paper develops a new method of parameter estimation, which is named E-Bayesian estimation method. In the case one hyper-parameter, the definition of E-Bayesian estimation of the failure probability is provided, moreover, the formulas of E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation, and the property of E-Bayesian estimation of the failure probability are also provided. Finally, calculation on practical problems shows that the provided method is feasible and easy to perform.

关键词： Reliability engineering Failure probability Test data E-Bayesian estimation Hierarchical Bayesian estimation

作者: Ming Han

作者单位: Department of Mathematics and Physics, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Advances in Product Development and Reliability(第二届产品开发与可靠性进展国际会议 PDR2010)

会议地点: 沈阳

会议语种:英文

页码: 601-605

在线出版日期: 2010-07-28（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）