Modeling of Collision Risk on Parallel Routes Based on Spherical Protected Area

摘要：

This paper presents an analysis of collision risk on parallel routes, which computes the collision risk through establishing a model under the condition of a given target level of safety. Firstly, the three-dimensional coordination system of the aircraft is converted to two-dimensional coordination system, and then the collision risk assessment model is established by using multi-dimensional random variable covariance matrix on the basis of spherical protected area instead of cuboid protected area in the Reich model. Secondly, arithmetic of separation assessment is established to compute the collision risk under different flight separations. Finally, an example is analyzed, compared the results 1.026×10-12, 3.242×10-16 and 6.473×10-25 with the target level of safety 1.5×10-8 to indicate that the separation of the route is feasible.

关键词： Collision Risk Parallel Routes Target Level of Safety Spherical Protected Area

作者: Zhaoning Zhang Jinwei Shen Jimin Liu

作者单位: Air Traffic Management College, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin, 300300

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 22nd China Control and Decision Conference(2010年中国控制与决策会议)

会议地点: 徐州

会议语种:英文

页码: 4422-4425

在线出版日期: 2010-05-26（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）