Existence Conditions and Analysis Approaches on Operation Risk
How to study the operation risk is a puzzle in military organization cooperative operations among services. In this paper, risk existence conditions and characteristics were investigated to resolve illegibifity problems in the operation risk. There were difference between risk decision making and full-uncertain decision making to be clarified. And then, three risk analysis approaches, the risk coefficient, compounding estimation and VaR technology were presented for supporting the discuses of the operation risk. Finally, a risk evaluation case about independence solution was given. As a result, the existence of the operation risk would fit four conditions of classical risk decision making, and selecting solutions should depend on decisionmakers attitude, rather than decision making regulations perfectly.
decision making science existence risk analysis operation
Bu Xianjin Teng Kenan Zhan Xiaosu Zhang Yanlei
Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University, Yantai, Shandong, 264001, P.R.China Military Science Academy, Beijing, 100091, P.R.China
国际会议
长沙
英文
1420-1423
2010-05-11（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）