Construction of the Gravity Model of Tourism Demand on the Basis of the System Theory
This paper, based on the gravity model of tourism demand, studies the factors to the travel to the neighbor areas with the example of Hong Kong tourists to Macau, analyzing the drawing forces such as promotion activities of Macaus Special Administrative Region government and the tourism industry, consumptions in Macau, especial events, and Macaus tourism destination attractiveness, and the push powers such as Hong Kongs GDP and the changes in Macau tourist market. On this basis, this paper revises the gravity model of tourism demand by reconsidering the important factors affecting the tourist flow. The introduction of the explanatory variables of market structure makes the model closer to the reality. Moreover, by adding the space scale to the time sequence forecasting, this model analyzes the tourist flow from the whole perspective of time and space.
tourism demand gravity system theory model construction
WANG Yongqiang YANG Guang
College of Tourism, Hainan University, P.R.China, 570228 College of Foreign Languages, Hainan University, P.R.China, 570228
国际会议
2010 International Symposium on Tourism Resources and Management(2010年旅游资源与管理国际研讨会)
澳门
英文
136-148
2010-02-05（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）