Study on the Forecast Method of Road Accidents Based on Extension of Cubic Spline curve
Road accidents forecast is a crucial problem in traffic safety control. In order to successfully complete the traffic safety control work, we must look for a punctuate and accurate road accident forecast method. With the priority of high-precision of cubic spline curve fitting function combined with relevant spline smoothing method, by investigation of traffic safety condition in china, a prediction systerm is set up. We put the three main statistical indicators into the model to predict traffic accidents in a short period. From the results of the analysis of the error we can see that, the forecast model based on cubic spline curve fitting function is effective for traffic accidents and it also provide a new way of thinking and method on traffic accidents forecast.
Traffic -accidents Forecast Cubic spline VB6.0 curve extension
TAN De-rong YIN Peng
Shandong University of Technology School of Transportation and Vehicle Engineering Zibo Shandong 255049, China
国际会议
长沙
英文
2709-2712
2009-10-10（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）