Default Dependence: the Equity Default Relationship
The paper examines three equity-based structural models to study the nonlinear relationship between equity and credit default swap (CDS) prices. These models di.er in the specification of the default barrier. With cross-firm CDS premia and equity information, we are able to estimate and compare the threemodels. We find that the stochastic barrier model performs better than the constant and uncertain barrier models in terms of both in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecasting of CDS premia. In addition, we demonstrate a linkage between the default barrier, jump intensity, and barrier volatility estimated from our models and firm-specific variables related to default risk, such as credit ratings, equity volatility, and leverage ratios.
Stuart M. Turnbull Jun Yang
Bauer College of Business Bank of Canada
国际会议
大连
英文
1-40
2008-07-02（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）