The Causes of Urban Spatial Ezpansion in China: An Empirical Ezplanation from Mono-Centric Model
Urban spatial expansion is a typical feature of urbanization, driven by economic development and population growth. As a large and fast growing developing country, China has been undergoing rapid urbanization and significant change of urban size and spatial structure during last two decades. This paper explores empirically in China, by employing data of more than 200 cities and over 8 years, whether the variations of urban sizes among cities and over time can be explained by the standard economics factors identified by the mono-centric theory. Also, this paper focuses on estimation of important factors that drive urban expansion, and to what extent do these factors impact. The estimation results suggest that fundamental socioeconomic factors are of primary importance in determining urban spatial size. In cross-sectional analysis, population, transportation costs, personal income and agricultural land price determine nearly 90% of variations across more than 200 cities. In first-difference estimation, population growth is the most influential factor. Methodologically, this paper improves the measurement of several key variables which were inadequately or inappropriately measured before.
urban size spatial ezpansion mono-centric model causes China
YANG Hong FAN Hong
Center for Real Estate Study, ZhejiangUniversity, Hangzhou, China 310027 Center for Real Estate Study, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China; 310027;
国际会议
2009 International Conference on Construction & Real Estate Management(2009建设与房地产管理国际会议)
北京
英文
1379-1382
2009-11-05（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）