Bayesian Analysis of Failure Probability under Zero-Failure Data

摘要：

This paper presents the Bayesian analysis of the zero-failure data. We take prior distribution of failure probability p1 be its conjugated distribution-Beta (pi-1, 1, 1, b) and hyper parameter b as the uniform distribution in (1, c). With quadratic loss function, If pi ∈(pi-1, 1), the EBayesian estimation The results satisfy p1E<p2E<...<pme. The properties of E-Bayesian estimation are given. a Simulation example is discussed, which shows that the method is both efficiency and easy to operate.

关键词： Bayesian estimation Zero-failure data Failure probability Reliability

作者: Guoliang Cai Lailin Wu

作者单位: Faculty of Science, Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, P.R. China Faculty of Science, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, P.R. China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The First World Congress on Global Optimization in Engineering & Science(第一届工程与科学全局优化国际会议 WCGO2009)

会议地点: 长沙

会议语种:英文

页码: 387-392

在线出版日期: 2009-06-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）