The Grey Relative Analysis of Impacts of Urbanization ----A Case Study on China’s Shandong Province
The factors impacting the process of urbanization is always the focus of advancing front of researching the problem of urbanization. This paper make an empirical study on the process of urbanization in Shandong. We establish the evaluated indices system. Utilizing the Grey Relative Analysis to analyze the relations between urbanization and employment, construction, economic development, social development during 2000-2007 in Shandong province, using the granger causality to test the relative analysis results according the panel-data from 1993-2007 in Shandong, We demonstrate that the Proportion of Employment in Tertiary Industry and Second Industry have strong relations with the Level of Urbanization, and the City’s Infrastructure Construction and Public Services is relative with the level of urbanization secondly high too. Then using the granger test, we find that the Tertiary and Second Industry has an interacting relations with Urbanization both cause and effect, and the cointegration relation is existing between the Proportion of Employment in Tertiary Industry, and the Level of Urbanization to directly manifest that the long-run equilibrium existing between Tertiary and Urbanization. thus, Shandong should adopt a more vigorous policy to release the restriction of urbanization further in order to fostering the development of Tertiary Industry and the Employment from labor flowing to urban, simultaneously government should increase the construction of infrastructure and public service to satisfy the needs of labor flowing absorbed by the development of Tertiary and Second Industry, especially from the Tertiary Industry. And simultaneously the huge flowing labor should foster the development of Tertiary Industry as an counteracting force. Through the empirical study, we insist the urbanization is the powerful key coupling point forcing the development of Urban Economy and the motivation pulling the domestic goods demand.
Chen Yuhe Sun Zuoren
College of Economics and Management, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qian Wan Gang Road 579, Economic & Technical Development Zone, Qingdao, Shandong China
国际会议
2009 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services(2009 IEEE灰色系统与服务科学国际会议)
南京
英文
252-258
2009-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）