Analyze on Response of Runoff to Climate Change Based on the Modified GM(1,2) Model

摘要：

The modified of GM (1,2) model proposed to simulate the runoff. Zhoukou and Tanghe station was taken as an example. The results show that the modified model was a means to better understand the significance of runoff variability upon climate change. The influence of the future climate change on hydrological processes was discussed. The runoff in this valley is projected on this basis according to the precipitation information provided from the IPCC. The results show that the tendency of runoff is increasing in next 100 years and the growth rate of runoff is differentiation in different scenario.

作者: Li Xinan Yang Fan Hu Caihong Liu Lina

作者单位: School of water conservancy and environmental engineering, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province,450001,P.R.China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services(2009 IEEE灰色系统与服务科学国际会议)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 397-402

在线出版日期: 2009-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）