The analysis and forecast for common senior high school education of china based on Grey Theory

摘要：

In this study, grey relational analysis method is applied to research the relation between the development of common senior high school and some influencing factors, such as macroscopic economy, educational budget, and population. Then, a grey dynamic predict model, GM(1,1), is constructed. Using this grey predict model, we forecast four indexes about the development tendency of common senior high school in the end of the eleventh five years plan and in the period of the twelfth five years plan. Those four indexes indicate the common senior high school education absolute size, relative size, quality and enrollment ratio. From those predictive indexes, we can know the teacher’s need and the funds need. This article tries to find a new way different from traditional method to study education problems and provides scientific basis for educational management.

作者: Shan-Kang Hui

作者单位: College of Education, Soochow University,Jiangsu, Suzhou, P. R. China 215123

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services(2009 IEEE灰色系统与服务科学国际会议)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 673-677

在线出版日期: 2009-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）