Emergency Decision-making Patterns Research Based On Dynamic Game of Incomplete Information

摘要：

An important property of emergency management is that the crisis manager should adjust his strategies dynamically along with the increasing information and previous activities. This paper studies how to deal with the crisis effectively along with the increasing information and previous activities after the crisis occurred. The authors analyze the dynamic treatment process of the crisis and build a dynamic crisis countermeasures model. So we can suppose that crisis countermeasures process is a dynamic game process with incomplete information between crisis manager and crisis. Then we analyze the dynamics decision-making patterns of crisis countermeasures and propose a crisis decision-making method for crisis managers. Finally, we illustrate the application of this decision-making method through the case of earthquake rescue.

作者: Zhong Qi Zhang Le

作者单位: School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, P. R. China, 230051

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services(2009 IEEE灰色系统与服务科学国际会议)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 1428-1433

在线出版日期: 2009-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）