Modelling of Users Route Choice Behavior in Adverse Weather

摘要：

This paper is based on prospect theory to study the users travel choice behavior in adverse weather conditions,it takes into account both of the past travel experience (a priori information) and the current available information, that is the meteorological information which can be updated by Bayesian theory. With the increased uncertainties in adverse weather, the concept of reserved time is proposed to measure the accuracy and reliability of the information that the users acquired, and then two functions and one reference point were constructed, finally, a theoretical model of path selection is set up under the framework of prospect theory. Through analysis and comparison of examples, the model is proved of validity. This is very meaningful for traffic safety management and controlling.

作者: Zhang Xu Chen Senfa

作者单位: School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 211189, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services(2009 IEEE灰色系统与服务科学国际会议)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 1729-1733

在线出版日期: 2009-10-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）