Improvement of the Sensitivity Analysis Method Based on Fluctuations in the Dynamic Range

摘要：

To improve the traditional method of sensitivity analysis in dealing with the fluctuations range of uncertainties and occurrence probability of fluctuation-range, this article estimated the distribution of uncertainties by objective and subjective probability analysis, took the relative changes of the uncertainties into account, and obtained a new formula for the sensitive coefficient. This formula, which depicts the risk factors more objectively and comprehensively, will have a larger application prospect.

关键词： Dynamic fluctuations range Objective probability analysis Subjective probability analysis Sensitivity analysis

作者: Li-kun ZHAO Xian ZENG

作者单位: College of Economics and Management,NCUT,P.R.China,100144

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Vale Engineering and Vale Management(2009)(2009年北京价值工程与价值管理国际会议)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 606-611

在线出版日期: 2009-10-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）