THE STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGY ADVANCE ON CHINA’S ENERGY CONSUMPTION PER UNIT GDP
Since Chinas reform and opening, with the rapid development of the heavy manufacturing and high energy consumption industry, energy consumption also increases significantly. However, in the energy consumption process, out-dated technology lead to high energy consumption of the unit GDP and the environmental pollution, which have directly influenced the sustainable development of China’s energy consumption, economy and society. In order to ensure Chinas energy consumption, economic and social sustainable development, we should put more technology into the energy consumption to realize the changes towards tech-intensive Chinas energy consumption and the goal of Chinas 11th Five-Year Plan that average energy consumption per unit GDP decline 20%. Therefore, on the basis of analyzing the actuality of Chinas energy consumption per unit GDP and technology advance, first the paper sums up 14 indexes which impact Chinas technology advance and sets up a comprehensive assessment system on Chinas technology advance; second it uses gray correlation analysis to select the key technology indexes which have an important impact on Chinas energy consumption constitution, and builds a multiple linear regression model for analyzing the connection between technology advance and Chinas energy consumption; Finally it uses GM (1.1) gray prediction model to select the optimum technology inputs decision-making which can realize the goal of Chinas 11th Five-Year Plan that average energy consumption per unit GDP decline 20%, in order to provide theoretical support for the relevant departments.
Technology advance Energy consumption Gray correlation analysis Multiple linear regression GM (1.1).
SHANG Jie LI Ningning
School of Economics & Management, Northeast Forestry University, P.R.China, 150040
国际会议
International Technology and Innovation Conference 2009(2009技术与创新国际学术会议)
西安
英文
1-4
2009-10-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）