A toolkit for testing sustainable use of underground space in future scenarios
A description of the future as it might be without forecasts, predictions and trend analysis can be referred to as a future scenario. An abundance of scenarios literature exists in which numerous pictures have been painted of changed future worlds. However, upon closer inspection it becomes apparent that virtually all of this literature refers to changes occurring above ground, ignoring the inevitable consequences (or opportunities) for sustainable use of underground space, not least in densely populated urban areas, some of which may be underlain by complex geological conditions. This paper reports on the development (to date) of an Urban Futures (UF) toolkit for sub-surface environments (including infrastructure and utilities) which, through use of key questions sustainable indicators and a contextual narrative, allows for better definition and measured performance of underground space in the UK, both today and in the future. The toolkit is used to explore possible uses of underground space within 4 plausible and well-cited future scenarios (i.e. New Sustainability Paradigm, Fortress World, Market Forces and Policy Reform). This forms part of a much larger generic toolkit which the UF research team are developing for exploring possible future scenarios over a range of UK urban regeneration case study areas.
D.V.L.Hunt I.Jefferson C.D.F.Rogers
The University of Birmingham,Birmingham,UK
国际会议
International Symposium and The 7th Asian Regional Conference of IAEG(国际工程地质与环境协会年会暨第七届亚洲工程地质会议)
成都
英文
802-812
2009-09-09（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）