Long-term precipitation prediction for reservoir operation based on global meteorological information

摘要：

Various kinds of meteorological information that cover all over the world have been developed with advancement of observational techniques and computer resources in recent years. Information and statistics only in a river basin, however, is taken into account in actual water resources management; therefore, it does not get to optimal management based on the quantitative prediction of basin conditions in the future. Long-term prediction which is crucial especially for drought control is not taken into consideration in water resources management, because of the limitation of prediction accuracy. To overcome the situation where long-term prediction is not so applicable to reservoir operation, regression model for precipitation prediction is developed for application to reservoir operation taking advantages of global meteorological information in this paper.

关键词： long-term precipitation prediction regression model global meteorological information AIC reservoir operation drought control

作者: Daisuke NOHARA Tomoya OKADA Tomoharu HORI

作者单位: Disaster Prevention Research Institute,Kyoto University,Gokasho,Uji 6110011,Japan Graduate School of Engineering,Kyoto University,Kyoto University Katsura Campus,Nisikyo-ku,Kyoto 613

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The Four Conference of Asia Pacific Association of Hydrology and Water Resources(亚太地区水文水资源协会第4届科学大会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 314-319

在线出版日期: 2008-11-03（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）