Optimal Combined Prediction of Industry Structure Base on GM(1,1) and ARM A(p, q) Model

摘要：

The optimal combined prediction model of industry structure base on ARMA(p, q) and GM(1,1) model is proposed, it bases minimal residual square sum, power weightiness is calculated by linear programming. The combined prediction model absorbs two models excellence, it has more prediction precision, the difficult problem of industry structure prediction is availability settled. Jiangsus industry structure is predicted by combined prediction model, that provide scientific gist for adjust industry structure.

关键词： Industry structure ARMA (p,q) model GM(1,1) model combined prediction model

作者: ZHANG Yuchun SHI Xiaolei

作者单位: School of Economics and Management,Lanzhou University of Technology,China,730050

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering(2009管理科学与工程国际会议)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 157-163

在线出版日期: 2009-11-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）