A Discussion on the Basic Definition for Risk of Meteorological Disasters and a Basic Assessment Model

摘要：

Reviewing the problems in existing risk definitions of meteorological disasters, we suggest a new definition: risk of meteorological disaster is a scene in the future associated with the adverse incident caused by meteorological factors. We also discuss the basic model for assessing risks that consists of three steps: estimating hazards, analyzing vulnerability and inferring loss. By using the model and the information diffusion technique, we regionalize the risks of Drought-Heat-Wind disaster for the wheat planting areas in Hebei Province, China.

关键词： Meteorological disaster risk assessment information diffusion Drought-Heat-Wind risk regionalization.

作者: Shujun Guo Chongfu Huang Guolei Liu Hanping Zhao

作者单位: State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resources Ecology (Beijing Normal University), Beijing 100875, China Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Ministry of Civil Affairs & Ministry of Education, the Peoples Republ

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(第二届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 451-460

在线出版日期: 2009-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）