Prediction to Marine Traffic Incidents Based on Fractal Theory

摘要：

On the basis of introduction of fractal theory applying the feasibility to marine traffic incidents, it is presented by evaluating iterated function system and its attractor, which uses fractal interpolation algorithm to handle discrete data aggregating with time series, and then models the prediction of marine incidents theoretically. Finally, taking statistic data of marine traffic incidents as case studies, it proves that the predicting model is more accurate than GM (1, M) and regression analysis algorithm.

关键词： Fractal Theory Fractal Interpolation Algorithm Marine Traffic Incidents Prediction

作者: CHEN Zhiyu HU Shenping HAO Yanbin

作者单位: Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(第二届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 624-629

在线出版日期: 2009-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）