Human-caused Risk Analysis in Ship Grounding Accident

摘要：

Most survey findings show that a majority of ship grounding accients are ascribed to the error from human and management. In view of the complexity and randomicity of the Human-caused risk and the advantage of bayesian network for solving the problems which are intelligentized and nonlinearize, the Bayesian network for risk assessment is founded in this paper firstly; Then the eliminant algorithm and the radiate clique tree algorithm are used for inference calculation; At last the Human-caused risk assessment system in ship grounding is founded and a instance for assessmen is given to explain its validity.

关键词： ship grunding human-caused risk Bayesian network radiate clique tree algorithm

作者: Lv Chen-guang Pu Jin-yun Hou Yue

作者单位: Architecture and Power Engineering College, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan,Hubei Province, 430033, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response(第二届风险分析与危机反应国际学术研讨会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 681-687

在线出版日期: 2009-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）