A model for the transmission of dengue
In this paper, we formulate a dengue model to explore the complex dynamics induced by antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE). The basic reproduction number R0 is calculated. We analyze the regions of existence and stability for the steady state solutions. Numerical simulation manifests that backward bifurcation may occur and there may be a stable endemic equilibrium even if the basic reproduction number is below 1, which implies that the basic reproduction number is not enough to describe whether dengue will prevail or not. We should pay more attention to the initial states.
Hui Wan Jing-an Cui
Institute of Mathematics,School of Mathematics and Computer Sciences,Nanjing Normal University Nanjing 210097,P.R.China
国际会议
北京
英文
1-4
2009-06-11(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)