Research on “Growth Drag of Water Resource on Agricultural Development in China

摘要：

Based on the “growth drag conceptual model of Romer, this paper computes the growth drag of water resource to agriculture through using panel data(1997～2006) of Chinas all provinces. The result shows the growth rate of agricultural production value fell 0.1121％ per year on average because of the shortage of water resource. The number is seemingly small, but according to calculation, under the drag of water resource, the ratio will be reduced by 2.66％ in 2030.Furthermore, it will be 3.74％ in 2040 and 4.82％ in 2050.

关键词： water resource agriculture productivity research development economics

作者: Xueyuan Wang

作者单位: College of Economy,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2009 6th International Conference on Service Systems and Service Management( 2009 第六届服务系统与服务管理国际会议)

会议地点: 厦门

会议语种:英文

页码: 116-119

在线出版日期: 2009-06-08（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）