Approach to Power Requirement by the Grey-Markov Forecasting model

摘要：

Builds a GM(1,1) grey forecasting model to find out the fluctuating trend of the historical data series, then builds a Markov transition matrix to find out the transition probability, finally combining these two models to forecast the power requirement accurately by the historical time series data.

关键词： Power grid electric power demand forecasting

作者: CHEN Yongjun CHEN YIMIN HE Yong Huang Min

作者单位: Zhejiang Jinhua Electric Power Bureau,Jinhua,321017 Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310029

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2008 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED 2008)(2008中国国际供电会议)

会议地点: 广州

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-4

在线出版日期: 2008-12-10（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）