System Dynamics Based Water Resources Planning: a Case Study of South Jiangsu Province
(0) A system dynamic (SD) model focusing on decision-making support for urban water resources planning was developed for the integrated and scientific management of the water resources of urban areas in this paper. The Jurong SD contains information feedback that governs interactions in the system and component-level knowledge is encompassed into system behavior simulation at an integrated level. Interactions among 105 components for 45 years are explored and six planning alternatives are chosen, one of which is based on the conventional mode assuming that the existing pattern of human activities will be prevailed, while the others are alternative planning designs based on the interaction of local authorities and planning researchers. The preferred scenario is therefore obtained according to different scenarios through comparing the simulation results for evaluation of different decisions. The results show that SD model can be effectively used to assist urban water resources planning strategy-makings.
System Dynamics water resources planning scenarios decision-making sustainability
TONG Fang DONG Zeng-chuan
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources-Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, P.R. China
国际会议
上海
英文
3687-3690
2008-05-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）