Simulation and Identification of Spatial Uncertainty of Urban Air Pollution: A Case Study in Dalian Municipality, China

摘要：

There are significant uncertainties inherent to urban development associated with economic growth and land use. These uncertainties will interact and cumulate, leading to fluctuation of environmental impact. This study aims to develop a methodological framework to quantitatively simulate and analyze the spatial uncertainty of urban air pollution in parallel with future urban development, by combining scenario analysis and spatial Monte Carlo sampling technique. This framework is developed for a long-term assessment at a regional scale, which is illuminated in this article by a case study in Dalian Municipality, China.

关键词： urban air pollution spatial uncertainty analysis scenario analysis urban development industrial distribution

作者: W. He Y. Liu S. Zeng J. Chen Q. Tong H. Li

作者单位: Department of Environmental Science and Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing 100084, China Urban Planning and Design Institute of Tsinghua Beijing 100084, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedical Engineering(iCBBE 2008)(第二届生物信息与生物医学工程国际会议)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 3785-3788

在线出版日期: 2008-05-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）