The Forecasting and Assessing Method for Urban Sustainable Development Tendency
The sustainable development of urban Eco-system mainly focuses on harmony development between environment and economy, which can reveal the macro and micro development trend to server on adjusting and controlling. On the basis of selecting indicators, the GM(1,1) model was adopted to forecast the future situation of each indicator from 2003 to 2005 with the statistic data from 1998 to 2002 of Tianjin city, results error percent can be accepted by comparing with the statistic data. Coordinated index and coordinated development index are widely used for assessment of the regional sustainable development, by determining the assessment criteria with the level all over the world, two levels was selected to assessment sustainable development of the Tianjin city. Results show the forecasting and assessing methods for urban sustainable development tendency were very useful, the conclusion can be easily interpreted and understand.
Sustainable Development Forecasting and assessing Urban Tianjin city
Jing Ping Jia Hai-feng
College of Urban and Environment Tianjin Normal University Tianjin, P.R.China Department of Environmental Science and Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing, P.R. China
国际会议
上海
英文
4346-4349
2008-05-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）