Research in Vaccination Model and Treatment Model for Fighting against AIDS Pandemic Calamity
With the aim to predict the expected rate of change in the number of HIV/AIDS infections and provide strategies for effectively allocating available resources, this paper begin with formulating and analyzing Epidemic Model which incorporates a delay due to the long incubation period of the disease. This paper presents Vaccination Model and Treatment Model to focus on a preventative HIV/AIDS vaccine and ARV provision. Our models forecast the trends in the susceptibility and the infection without any additional interventions from 2006 to 2050 and make a comparison between two scenarios: A preventative vaccine and absence of vaccine. Projections are shown as the following figures.
WU Xuejun XU Zhijiang
Zhejiang University of Technology Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
国际会议
2009 International Institute of Applied Statistics Studies(2009 国际应用统计学术研讨会)
青岛
英文
1-7
2009-07-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）